Forecasting at the IMF

Assessing Process and Quality

This report by the IMF’s Independent Evaluation Office focuses on the processes used by IMF staff to generate short- and medium-term forecasts, and assesses their overall quality and usefulness. The final chapter presents the results of a survey of both users and producers of IMF forecasts regarding the quality and usefulness of these forecasts.

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Banks and Banking , Banks and Banking , Money and Monetary Policy , Money and Monetary Policy , Public Policy , Public Policy , IEO evaluation , IMF forecasts , bias in forecasts , accuracy of forecasts

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Summary